Discounted Cash Flow
Hub Group, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | $3.5b | $70.9m | $88.7m | 2.0% | $1.98 |
| 2016 | $3.6b (1.3%) | $74.8m (5.4%) | $-4.9m (-105.6%) | 2.1% (4.0%) | $2.21 (11.6%) |
| 2017 | $4.0b (12.9%) | $135.2m (80.7%) | $50.7m (1126.7%) | 3.3% (60.0%) | $4.07 (84.2%) |
| 2018 | $3.7b (-8.7%) | $201.7m (49.3%) | $11.0m (-78.2%) | 5.5% (63.5%) | $6.04 (48.4%) |
| 2019 | $3.7b (-0.4%) | $107.2m (-46.9%) | $159.7m (1345.2%) | 2.9% (-46.7%) | $3.22 (-46.7%) |
| 2020 | $3.5b (-4.7%) | $73.6m (-31.4%) | $59.6m (-62.6%) | 2.1% (-28.0%) | $2.22 (-31.1%) |
| 2021 | $4.2b (21.1%) | $171.5m (133.1%) | $119.9m (101.0%) | 4.1% (92.5%) | $5.13 (131.1%) |
| 2022 | $5.3b (26.2%) | $0 (-100.0%) | $239.0m (99.4%) | 0.0% (-100.0%) | $10.75 (109.6%) |
| 2023 | $4.2b (-21.3%) | $0 | $282.1m (18.0%) | 0.0% | $2.65 (-75.3%) |
| 2024 | $3.9b (-6.1%) | $50.0k | $143.6m (-49.1%) | 0.0% | $1.72 (-35.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.