Discounted Cash Flow

Huron Consulting Group Inc.

HURN · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $798.0m $37.6m $114.4m 4.7% $1.78
2017 $807.7m (1.2%) $-170.1m (-552.2%) $75.4m (-34.1%) -21.1% (-546.8%) $-7.93 (-545.5%)
2018 $878.0m (8.7%) $13.6m (108.0%) $92.7m (23.0%) 1.6% (107.4%) $0.63 (107.9%)
2019 $965.5m (10.0%) $41.7m (205.9%) $119.0m (28.3%) 4.3% (178.2%) $1.90 (201.6%)
2020 $871.0m (-9.8%) $-23.8m (-157.1%) $128.6m (8.1%) -2.7% (-163.3%) $-1.09 (-157.4%)
2021 $927.0m (6.4%) $63.0m (364.2%) $7.1m (-94.5%) 6.8% (348.3%) $2.94 (369.7%)
2022 $1.2b (25.0%) $75.6m (19.9%) $72.9m (923.8%) 6.5% (-4.1%) $3.73 (26.9%)
2023 $1.4b (20.7%) $62.5m (-17.3%) $125.8m (72.7%) 4.5% (-31.5%) $3.32 (-11.0%)
2024 $1.5b (8.8%) $116.6m (86.7%) $192.7m (53.1%) 7.7% (71.6%) $6.52 (96.4%)
2025 $1.7b (11.7%) $105.0m (-9.9%) $183.0m (-5.0%) 6.2% (-19.3%) $6.02 (-7.7%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model