Discounted Cash Flow

Independent Bank Corp. /Mi/

IBCP · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income
Dividends

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $121.9m $22.8m $20.5m 18.7% $1.06
2017 $131.7m (8.0%) $20.5m (-10.1%) $34.4m (67.4%) 15.5% (-16.7%) $0.96 (-9.4%)
2018 $158.1m (20.0%) $39.8m (94.6%) $41.1m (19.5%) 25.2% (62.1%) $1.70 (77.1%)
2019 $170.3m (7.7%) $46.4m (16.6%) $29.0m (-29.3%) 27.3% (8.2%) $2.03 (19.4%)
2020 $204.4m (20.0%) $56.2m (20.9%) $53.8m (85.2%) 27.5% (0.8%) $2.56 (26.1%)
2021 $206.4m (1.0%) $62.9m (12.0%) $104.3m (93.9%) 30.5% (10.9%) $2.91 (13.7%)
2022 $211.5m (2.5%) $63.4m (0.7%) $89.0m (-14.7%) 30.0% (-1.7%) $3.00 (3.1%)
2023 $207.0m (-2.1%) $59.1m (-6.8%) $69.6m (-21.8%) 28.5% (-4.8%) $2.82 (-6.0%)
2024 $222.6m (7.5%) $66.8m (13.1%) $55.2m (-20.6%) 30.0% (5.1%) $3.20 (13.5%)
2025 $225.7m (1.4%) $68.5m (2.6%) $70.2m (27.1%) 30.4% (1.2%) $3.30 (3.1%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model