Discounted Cash Flow

Independent Bank Corp. /Mi/

IBCP · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $79.6m $22.8m $20.5m 28.6% $1.06
2017 $89.2m (12.0%) $20.5m (-10.1%) $34.4m (67.4%) 23.0% (-19.7%) $0.96 (-9.4%)
2018 $27.1m (-69.6%) $39.8m (94.6%) $41.1m (19.5%) 146.9% (539.7%) $1.70 (77.1%)
2019 $26.0m (-4.3%) $46.4m (16.6%) $29.0m (-29.3%) 178.9% (21.8%) $2.03 (19.4%)
2020 $24.0m (-7.4%) $56.2m (20.9%) $53.8m (85.2%) 233.7% (30.6%) $2.56 (26.1%)
2021 $29.1m (21.1%) $62.9m (12.0%) $104.3m (93.9%) 216.1% (-7.5%) $2.91 (13.7%)
2022 $31.6m (8.7%) $63.4m (0.7%) $89.0m (-14.7%) 200.2% (-7.4%) $3.00 (3.1%)
2023 $32.9m (4.0%) $59.1m (-6.8%) $69.6m (-21.8%) 179.5% (-10.3%) $2.82 (-6.0%)
2024 $32.0m (-2.8%) $66.8m (13.1%) $55.2m (-20.6%) 208.9% (16.3%) $3.20 (13.5%)
2025 $32.1m (0.3%) $68.5m (2.6%) $70.2m (27.1%) 213.7% (2.3%) $3.30 (3.1%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model