Discounted Cash Flow

ICL Group Ltd. ADR

ICL · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $5.4b $-122.0m $334.0m -2.3% $-0.10
2017 $5.4b (1.0%) $364.0m (398.4%) $390.0m (16.8%) 6.7% (395.3%) $0.29 (390.0%)
2018 $5.6b (2.5%) $1.2b (240.7%) $48.0m (-87.7%) 22.3% (232.2%) $0.97 (234.5%)
2019 $5.3b (-5.1%) $475.0m (-61.7%) $416.0m (766.7%) 9.0% (-59.6%) $0.37 (-61.9%)
2020 $5.0b (-4.3%) $11.0m (-97.7%) $178.0m (-57.2%) 0.2% (-97.6%) $0.01 (-97.3%)
2021 $7.0b (37.9%) $783.0m (7018.2%) $454.0m (155.1%) 11.3% (5061.3%) $0.61 (6000.0%)
2022 $10.0b (44.0%) $2.2b (175.7%) $1.3b (181.5%) 21.6% (91.5%) $1.68 (175.4%)
2023 $7.5b (-24.8%) $647.0m (-70.0%) $815.0m (-36.2%) 8.6% (-60.2%) $0.50 (-70.2%)
2024 $6.8b (-9.2%) $407.0m (-37.1%) $755.0m (-7.4%) 5.9% (-30.7%) $0.32 (-36.0%)
2025 $7.2b (4.6%) $226.0m (-44.5%) $232.0m (-69.3%) 3.2% (-46.9%) $0.18 (-43.8%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model