Discounted Cash Flow

IES Holdings, Inc.

IESC · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $696.0m $120.8m $21.6m 17.4% $5.63
2017 $810.7m (16.5%) $13.4m (-88.9%) $17.8m (-17.6%) 1.7% (-90.5%) $0.62 (-89.0%)
2018 $876.8m (8.2%) $-14.2m (-205.5%) $7.7m (-56.9%) -1.6% (-197.5%) $-0.67 (-208.1%)
2019 $1.1b (22.8%) $33.2m (334.6%) $32.4m (323.2%) 3.1% (291.0%) $1.56 (332.8%)
2020 $1.2b (10.6%) $41.6m (25.3%) $72.0m (122.0%) 3.5% (13.3%) $1.96 (25.6%)
2021 $1.5b (29.0%) $66.7m (60.2%) $30.5m (-57.6%) 4.3% (24.2%) $3.19 (62.8%)
2022 $2.2b (41.0%) $34.8m (-47.9%) $-13.0m (-142.6%) 1.6% (-63.0%) $1.45 (-54.5%)
2023 $2.4b (9.7%) $108.3m (211.5%) $136.2m (1148.5%) 4.6% (183.9%) $4.58 (215.9%)
2024 $2.9b (21.3%) $219.1m (102.3%) $189.2m (38.9%) 7.6% (66.8%) $10.02 (118.8%)
2025 $3.4b (16.9%) $311.8m (42.3%) $218.8m (15.6%) 9.2% (21.8%) $15.22 (51.9%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model