Discounted Cash Flow
Intercontinental Hotels Group Plc. /New/ ADR
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.7b | $414.0m | $700.0m | 24.1% | $195.30 |
| 2017 | $1.8b (4.0%) | $592.0m (43.0%) | $574.0m (-18.0%) | 33.2% (37.5%) | $306.70 (57.0%) |
| 2018 | $4.3b (143.1%) | $351.0m (-40.7%) | $663.0m (15.5%) | 8.1% (-75.6%) | $1.85 (-99.4%) |
| 2019 | $4.6b (6.7%) | $385.0m (9.7%) | $648.0m (-2.3%) | 8.3% (2.8%) | $2.10 (13.9%) |
| 2020 | $2.4b (-48.3%) | $-260.0m (-167.5%) | $111.0m (-82.9%) | -10.9% (-230.5%) | $-1.43 (-167.9%) |
| 2021 | $2.9b (21.4%) | $266.0m (202.3%) | $619.0m (457.7%) | 9.2% (184.3%) | $1.45 (201.7%) |
| 2022 | $3.9b (33.9%) | $375.0m (41.0%) | $164.0m (-73.5%) | 9.6% (5.3%) | $2.07 (42.5%) |
| 2023 | $4.6b (18.8%) | $750.0m (100.0%) | $103.0m (-37.2%) | 16.2% (68.3%) | $4.44 (114.2%) |
| 2024 | $4.9b (6.5%) | $628.0m (-16.3%) | $-80.0m (-177.7%) | 12.8% (-21.4%) | $3.90 (-12.2%) |
| 2025 | $5.2b (5.4%) | $758.0m (20.7%) | $1.0m (101.2%) | 14.6% (14.5%) | $4.91 (26.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.