Discounted Cash Flow

Insteel Industries Inc.

IIIN · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $418.5m $37.2m $41.6m 8.9% $1.99
2017 $388.9m (-7.1%) $22.5m (-39.5%) $-272.0k (-100.7%) 5.8% (-34.8%) $1.19 (-40.2%)
2018 $453.2m (16.5%) $36.3m (60.8%) $35.5m (13158.8%) 8.0% (38.0%) $1.90 (59.7%)
2019 $455.7m (0.6%) $5.6m (-84.6%) $-3.9m (-111.0%) 1.2% (-84.6%) $0.29 (-84.7%)
2020 $472.6m (3.7%) $19.0m (239.6%) $49.1m (1357.9%) 4.0% (227.4%) $0.99 (241.4%)
2021 $590.6m (25.0%) $66.6m (250.4%) $52.4m (6.7%) 11.3% (180.4%) $3.44 (247.5%)
2022 $826.8m (40.0%) $125.0m (87.7%) $-10.2m (-119.5%) 15.1% (34.1%) $6.41 (86.3%)
2023 $649.2m (-21.5%) $32.4m (-74.1%) $111.5m (1189.9%) 5.0% (-67.0%) $1.66 (-74.1%)
2024 $529.2m (-18.5%) $19.3m (-40.4%) $39.1m (-65.0%) 3.6% (-26.9%) $0.99 (-40.4%)
2025 $647.7m (22.4%) $41.0m (112.5%) $18.9m (-51.5%) 6.3% (73.6%) $2.11 (113.1%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model