Discounted Cash Flow

Innovative Industrial Properties Inc. REIT

IIPR · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income
Dividends

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $321.0k $-4.4m $1.7m -1368.2% $-4.56
2017 $6.4m (1900.0%) $-72.0k (98.4%) $-72.0k (-104.3%) -1.1% (99.9%) $-0.13 (97.1%)
2018 $14.8m (130.3%) $7.0m (9801.4%) $15.7m (21895.8%) 47.2% (4312.0%) $0.76 (684.6%)
2019 $44.7m (202.1%) $23.5m (236.1%) $44.9m (186.3%) 52.6% (11.3%) $2.06 (171.1%)
2020 $116.9m (161.7%) $65.7m (180.0%) $110.8m (146.6%) 56.2% (7.0%) $3.28 (59.2%)
2021 $204.6m (75.0%) $114.0m (73.4%) $188.7m (70.3%) 55.7% (-0.9%) $4.69 (43.0%)
2022 $276.4m (35.1%) $154.4m (35.4%) $234.1m (24.0%) 55.9% (0.2%) $5.57 (18.8%)
2023 $309.5m (12.0%) $165.6m (7.3%) $255.5m (9.1%) 53.5% (-4.2%) $5.82 (4.5%)
2024 $308.5m (-0.3%) $161.7m (-2.4%) $258.4m (1.1%) 52.4% (-2.1%) $5.58 (-4.1%)
2025 $266.0m (-13.8%) $114.4m (-29.2%) $198.2m (-23.3%) 43.0% (-17.9%) $3.98 (-28.7%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model