Discounted Cash Flow

Innovative Industrial Properties Inc. REIT

IIPR · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2017 $6.4m $-395.0k $2.0m -6.2% $-0.02
2018 $14.8m (130.3%) $5.6m (1526.1%) $15.7m (678.8%) 38.1% (719.2%) $0.98 (4686.8%)
2019 $44.7m (202.1%) $22.1m (292.7%) $44.9m (186.3%) 49.5% (30.0%) $2.23 (127.5%)
2020 $116.9m (161.7%) $64.4m (191.0%) $110.8m (146.6%) 55.1% (11.2%) $3.38 (51.9%)
2021 $204.6m (75.0%) $112.6m (75.0%) $188.7m (70.3%) 55.1% (-0.0%) $4.77 (41.1%)
2022 $276.4m (35.1%) $153.0m (35.9%) $234.1m (24.0%) 55.4% (0.6%) $5.65 (18.4%)
2023 $309.5m (12.0%) $164.2m (7.3%) $255.5m (9.1%) 53.1% (-4.2%) $5.92 (4.8%)
2024 $308.5m (-0.3%) $159.9m (-2.7%) $258.4m (1.1%) 51.8% (-2.4%) $5.73 (-3.2%)
2025 $266.0m (-13.8%) $114.4m (-28.4%) $198.2m (-23.3%) 43.0% (-17.0%) $4.22 (-26.3%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model