Discounted Cash Flow
Illumina, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $2.2b | $461.6m | $516.7m | 20.8% | $3.10 |
| 2017 | $2.8b (24.0%) | $726.0m (57.3%) | $377.2m (-27.0%) | 26.4% (26.9%) | $4.82 (55.5%) |
| 2018 | $3.3b (21.1%) | $826.0m (13.8%) | $846.0m (124.3%) | 24.8% (-6.1%) | $5.48 (13.5%) |
| 2019 | $3.5b (6.3%) | $1.0b (21.3%) | $-125.0m (-114.8%) | 28.3% (14.1%) | $6.62 (21.0%) |
| 2020 | $3.2b (-8.6%) | $656.0m (-34.5%) | $891.0m (812.8%) | 20.3% (-28.4%) | $4.36 (-34.2%) |
| 2021 | $4.5b (39.7%) | $762.0m (16.2%) | $-122.0m (-113.7%) | 16.8% (-16.9%) | $4.93 (13.2%) |
| 2022 | $4.5b (0.0%) | $762.0m (0.0%) | $-112.0m (8.2%) | 16.8% (0.0%) | $4.93 (0.0%) |
| 2023 | $4.5b (-0.5%) | $-1.2b (-252.4%) | $-83.0m (25.9%) | -25.8% (-253.1%) | $-7.14 (-244.8%) |
| 2024 | $4.4b (-2.9%) | $-1.2b (-5.3%) | $4.0m (104.8%) | -28.0% (-8.5%) | $-7.69 (-7.7%) |
| 2025 | $4.3b (-0.7%) | $850.0m (169.5%) | $-34.0m (-950.0%) | 19.6% (170.0%) | $5.47 (171.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.