Discounted Cash Flow

Ingles Markets Inc.

IMKTA · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $3.8b $54.2m $21.4m 1.4%
2017 $4.0b (5.5%) $53.9m (-0.6%) $28.6m (33.9%) 1.3% (-5.7%)
2018 $4.1b (2.3%) $97.4m (80.7%) $10.8m (-62.5%) 2.4% (76.7%)
2019 $4.2b (2.7%) $81.6m (-16.2%) $49.8m (362.7%) 1.9% (-18.4%)
2020 $4.6b (9.7%) $178.6m (118.9%) $227.3m (357.0%) 3.9% (99.5%)
2021 $5.0b (8.2%) $249.7m (39.8%) $165.7m (-27.1%) 5.0% (29.2%)
2022 $5.7b (13.9%) $272.8m (9.2%) $219.9m (32.7%) 4.8% (-4.1%)
2023 $5.9b (3.8%) $210.8m (-22.7%) $92.8m (-57.8%) 3.6% (-25.5%)
2024 $5.6b (-4.3%) $105.5m (-49.9%) $51.7m (-44.3%) 1.9% (-47.7%)
2025 $5.3b (-5.4%) $83.6m (-20.8%) $39.6m (-23.4%) 1.6% (-16.3%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model