Discounted Cash Flow
IPG Photonics Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.0b | $260.8m | $165.2m | 25.9% | $4.91 |
| 2017 | $1.4b (40.0%) | $347.6m (33.3%) | $278.9m (68.8%) | 24.7% (-4.8%) | $6.50 (32.4%) |
| 2018 | $1.5b (3.6%) | $404.0m (16.2%) | $233.0m (-16.5%) | 27.7% (12.2%) | $7.55 (16.2%) |
| 2019 | $1.3b (-10.0%) | $180.2m (-55.4%) | $190.0m (-18.4%) | 13.7% (-50.5%) | $3.40 (-55.0%) |
| 2020 | $1.2b (-8.7%) | $159.6m (-11.5%) | $197.6m (4.0%) | 13.3% (-3.1%) | $3.00 (-11.8%) |
| 2021 | $1.5b (21.7%) | $278.4m (74.5%) | $266.6m (34.9%) | 19.1% (43.4%) | $5.21 (73.7%) |
| 2022 | $1.4b (-2.1%) | $109.9m (-60.5%) | $102.5m (-61.5%) | 7.7% (-59.7%) | $2.17 (-58.3%) |
| 2023 | $1.3b (-9.9%) | $218.9m (99.1%) | $185.5m (81.0%) | 17.0% (121.1%) | $4.64 (113.8%) |
| 2024 | $977.1m (-24.1%) | $-181.5m (-182.9%) | $149.4m (-19.5%) | -18.6% (-209.3%) | $-4.09 (-188.1%) |
| 2025 | $1.0b (2.7%) | $31.1m (117.1%) | $-3.5m (-102.3%) | 3.1% (116.7%) | $0.73 (117.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.