Discounted Cash Flow
Itron, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $2.0b | $31.8m | $72.3m | 1.6% | $0.83 |
| 2017 | $2.0b (0.2%) | $57.3m (80.4%) | $141.9m (96.2%) | 2.8% (79.9%) | $1.48 (78.3%) |
| 2018 | $2.4b (17.7%) | $-99.2m (-273.2%) | $49.8m (-64.9%) | -4.2% (-247.1%) | $-2.53 (-270.9%) |
| 2019 | $2.5b (5.3%) | $49.0m (149.4%) | $112.1m (125.1%) | 2.0% (146.9%) | $1.24 (149.0%) |
| 2020 | $2.2b (-13.2%) | $-58.0m (-218.3%) | $63.3m (-43.5%) | -2.7% (-236.2%) | $-1.44 (-216.1%) |
| 2021 | $2.0b (-8.8%) | $-81.3m (-40.2%) | $120.1m (89.7%) | -4.1% (-53.8%) | $-1.83 (-27.1%) |
| 2022 | $1.8b (-9.4%) | $-9.7m (88.0%) | $4.8m (-96.0%) | -0.5% (86.8%) | $-0.22 (88.0%) |
| 2023 | $2.2b (21.1%) | $96.9m (1095.9%) | $98.1m (1963.7%) | 4.5% (922.7%) | $2.13 (1068.2%) |
| 2024 | $2.4b (12.3%) | $239.1m (146.7%) | $207.6m (111.7%) | 9.8% (119.7%) | $5.27 (147.4%) |
| 2025 | $2.4b (-3.0%) | $301.1m (25.9%) | $383.1m (84.5%) | 12.7% (29.8%) | $6.62 (25.6%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.