Discounted Cash Flow
Illinois Tool Works Inc.
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—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $13.6b | $-864.0m | $2.0b | -6.4% | $5.73 |
| 2017 | $14.3b (5.3%) | $-1.6b (-86.1%) | $2.1b (3.7%) | -11.2% (-76.8%) | $4.90 (-14.5%) |
| 2018 | $14.8b (3.2%) | $-832.0m (48.3%) | $2.4b (16.2%) | -5.6% (49.8%) | $7.65 (56.1%) |
| 2019 | $14.1b (-4.5%) | $-777.0m (6.6%) | $2.7b (9.1%) | -5.5% (2.2%) | $7.78 (1.7%) |
| 2020 | $12.6b (-10.9%) | $-600.0m (22.8%) | $2.6b (-3.7%) | -4.8% (13.4%) | $6.66 (-14.4%) |
| 2021 | $14.5b (15.0%) | $-641.0m (-6.8%) | $2.3b (-12.1%) | -4.4% (7.1%) | $8.55 (28.4%) |
| 2022 | $15.9b (10.2%) | $-815.0m (-27.1%) | $1.9b (-14.4%) | -5.1% (-15.4%) | $9.80 (14.6%) |
| 2023 | $16.1b (1.1%) | $-905.0m (-11.0%) | $3.1b (59.3%) | -5.6% (-9.8%) | $9.77 (-0.3%) |
| 2024 | $15.9b (-1.3%) | $-927.0m (-2.4%) | $2.8b (-7.8%) | -5.8% (-3.8%) | $11.75 (20.3%) |
| 2025 | $16.0b (0.9%) | $-935.0m (-0.9%) | $2.7b (-4.8%) | -5.8% (0.1%) | $10.52 (-10.5%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.