Discounted Cash Flow
Jakks Pacific Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $706.6m | $1.2m | $2.0m | 0.2% | $0.08 |
| 2017 | $613.1m (-13.2%) | $-83.1m (-6784.2%) | $-3.5m (-280.5%) | -13.6% (-7803.5%) | $-3.89 (-4962.5%) |
| 2018 | $567.8m (-7.4%) | $-42.4m (49.0%) | $-12.4m (-250.7%) | -7.5% (44.9%) | $-1.83 (53.0%) |
| 2019 | $598.6m (5.4%) | $-55.5m (-31.1%) | $12.4m (200.1%) | -9.3% (-24.4%) | — |
| 2020 | $515.9m (-13.8%) | $-14.3m (74.3%) | $35.3m (184.4%) | -2.8% (70.2%) | — |
| 2021 | $621.1m (20.4%) | $-6.0m (57.9%) | $-14.1m (-139.9%) | -1.0% (65.0%) | — |
| 2022 | $796.2m (28.2%) | $91.4m (1621.5%) | $75.7m (637.0%) | 11.5% (1287.0%) | $9.33 |
| 2023 | $711.6m (-10.6%) | $38.4m (-58.0%) | $57.5m (-24.1%) | 5.4% (-53.0%) | $3.70 (-60.3%) |
| 2024 | $691.0m (-2.9%) | $33.9m (-11.7%) | $27.7m (-51.8%) | 4.9% (-9.1%) | $3.27 (-11.6%) |
| 2025 | $570.7m (-17.4%) | $9.9m (-70.9%) | $-1.1m (-103.9%) | 1.7% (-64.8%) | $0.88 (-73.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.