Discounted Cash Flow

Hunt J B Transport Services Inc.

JBHT · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $6.6b $432.1m $215.7m 6.6% $3.84
2017 $7.2b (9.7%) $686.3m (58.8%) $328.2m (52.2%) 9.5% (44.8%) $6.24 (62.5%)
2018 $8.6b (19.8%) $489.6m (-28.7%) $92.2m (-71.9%) 5.7% (-40.5%) $4.48 (-28.2%)
2019 $9.2b (6.4%) $516.3m (5.5%) $244.2m (164.9%) 5.6% (-0.9%) $4.81 (7.4%)
2020 $9.6b (5.1%) $506.0m (-2.0%) $384.3m (57.4%) 5.3% (-6.8%) $4.79 (-0.4%)
2021 $12.2b (26.3%) $760.8m (50.3%) $276.3m (-28.1%) 6.3% (19.1%) $7.22 (50.7%)
2022 $14.8b (21.7%) $969.4m (27.4%) $236.1m (-14.6%) 6.5% (4.7%) $9.31 (28.9%)
2023 $12.8b (-13.4%) $728.3m (-24.9%) $-117.8m (-149.9%) 5.7% (-13.2%) $7.04 (-24.4%)
2024 $12.1b (-5.8%) $570.9m (-21.6%) $617.8m (624.4%) 4.7% (-16.8%) $5.60 (-20.5%)
2025 $12.0b (-0.7%) $598.3m (4.8%) $947.6m (53.4%) 5.0% (5.6%) $6.16 (10.0%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model