Discounted Cash Flow

Janus International Group, Inc.

JBI · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2017 $2.4b $51.4m $173.4m 2.1% $1.32
2018 $2.8b (16.0%) $97.7m (90.1%) $221.9m (28.0%) 3.5% (63.9%) $2.49 (88.6%)
2019 $3.0b (7.8%) $102.9m (5.4%) $266.6m (20.1%) 3.4% (-2.3%) $2.60 (4.4%)
2020 $549.0m (-82.0%) $49.1m (-52.3%) $94.5m (-64.5%) 8.9% (164.6%) $0.86 (-66.9%)
2021 $4.1b (644.9%) $-390.3m (-895.4%) $231.0m (144.5%) -9.5% (-206.8%) $-9.09 (-1157.0%)
2022 $1.0b (-75.1%) $46.3m (111.8%) $66.0m (-71.4%) 4.5% (147.5%) $0.73 (108.0%)
2023 $1.1b (4.6%) $65.5m (41.7%) $-10.6m (-116.1%) 6.1% (35.5%) $0.92 (26.0%)
2024 $963.8m (-9.6%) $161.7m (146.7%) $-10.9m (-2.8%) 16.8% (173.0%) $0.49 (-46.7%)
2025 $884.2m (-8.3%) $103.1m (-36.2%) $304.6m (2894.9%) 11.7% (-30.5%) $0.39 (-20.4%)
2026 $884.2m (0.0%) $53.8m (-47.8%) $10.0m (-96.7%) 6.1% (-47.8%) $0.39 (0.0%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model