Discounted Cash Flow
Sanfilippo John B & SON Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $952.1m | $30.4m | $74.2m | 3.2% | $2.71 |
| 2017 | $846.6m (-11.1%) | $36.1m (18.9%) | $41.8m (-43.7%) | 4.3% (33.7%) | $3.19 (17.7%) |
| 2018 | $888.6m (5.0%) | $32.4m (-10.3%) | $52.9m (26.7%) | 3.6% (-14.5%) | $2.85 (-10.7%) |
| 2019 | $876.2m (-1.4%) | $39.5m (21.7%) | $68.4m (29.2%) | 4.5% (23.5%) | $3.45 (21.1%) |
| 2020 | $880.1m (0.4%) | $54.1m (37.1%) | $48.6m (-28.9%) | 6.1% (36.5%) | $4.72 (36.8%) |
| 2021 | $858.5m (-2.5%) | $59.7m (10.4%) | $79.5m (63.7%) | 7.0% (13.2%) | $5.19 (10.0%) |
| 2022 | $955.9m (11.3%) | $61.8m (3.4%) | $1.9m (-97.7%) | 6.5% (-7.1%) | $5.36 (3.3%) |
| 2023 | $999.7m (4.6%) | $62.9m (1.7%) | $103.9m (5517.5%) | 6.3% (-2.7%) | $5.43 (1.3%) |
| 2024 | $1.1b (6.7%) | $60.2m (-4.1%) | $73.4m (-29.4%) | 5.6% (-10.2%) | $5.19 (-4.4%) |
| 2025 | $1.1b (3.8%) | $58.9m (-2.2%) | $-20.2m (-127.5%) | 5.3% (-5.8%) | $5.06 (-2.5%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.