Discounted Cash Flow
Jd.com, Inc. ADR
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $37.5b | $-81.4m | $-81.4m | -0.2% | $-0.20 |
| 2017 | $55.7b (48.6%) | $-1.7m (97.9%) | $3.2b (4026.2%) | -0.0% (98.6%) | $-0.01 (95.0%) |
| 2018 | $67.2b (20.7%) | $-415.8m (-23799.6%) | $1.7b (-48.3%) | -0.6% (-19706.4%) | $-0.13 (-1200.0%) |
| 2019 | $82.9b (23.3%) | $1.8b (535.1%) | $3.3b (99.2%) | 2.2% (452.8%) | $0.60 (561.5%) |
| 2020 | $114.3b (37.9%) | $7.3b (305.5%) | $5.8b (76.6%) | 6.4% (194.0%) | $2.51 (318.3%) |
| 2021 | $149.3b (30.6%) | $-528.5m (-107.2%) | $-528.5m (-109.1%) | -0.4% (-105.5%) | $-0.18 (-107.2%) |
| 2022 | $151.7b (1.6%) | $1.5b (391.6%) | $8.5b (1701.7%) | 1.0% (387.0%) | $0.48 (366.7%) |
| 2023 | $1.1t (615.1%) | $3.6b (132.8%) | $8.8b (3.4%) | 0.3% (-67.4%) | $1.08 (125.0%) |
| 2024 | $1.2t (6.8%) | $6.1b (71.1%) | $7.8b (-10.5%) | 0.5% (60.2%) | $1.90 (75.9%) |
| 2025 | $1.3t (13.0%) | $2.9b (-52.5%) | $1.7b (-78.8%) | 0.2% (-58.0%) | $0.99 (-47.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CNY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.