Discounted Cash Flow

Janus Henderson Group Plc.

JHG · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $999.9m $-12.4m $-12.4m -1.2% $1.69
2017 $1.7b (74.4%) $20.8m (267.7%) $20.8m (267.7%) 1.2% (196.2%) $3.97 (134.9%)
2018 $2.3b (32.3%) $1.4m (-93.3%) $641.7m (2985.1%) 0.1% (-94.9%) $2.62 (-34.0%)
2019 $2.2b (-4.9%) $-12.7m (-1007.1%) $425.4m (-33.7%) -0.6% (-1054.3%) $2.21 (-15.6%)
2020 $2.3b (4.8%) $800.0k (106.3%) $627.9m (47.6%) 0.0% (106.0%) $0.87 (-60.6%)
2021 $2.8b (20.4%) $400.0k (-50.0%) $885.0m (40.9%) 0.0% (-58.5%) $3.60 (313.8%)
2022 $2.2b (-20.4%) $2.0m (400.0%) $455.7m (-48.5%) 0.1% (527.8%) $2.23 (-38.1%)
2023 $2.1b (-4.6%) $392.0m (19500.0%) $430.8m (-5.5%) 18.7% (20449.3%) $2.37 (6.3%)
2024 $2.5b (17.7%) $408.9m (4.3%) $684.5m (58.9%) 16.5% (-11.4%) $2.57 (8.4%)
2025 $3.1b (25.2%) $815.9m (99.5%) $710.9m (3.9%) 26.3% (59.3%) $5.25 (104.3%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model