Discounted Cash Flow

J.jill, Inc.

JILL · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2017 $639.1m $24.1m $30.1m 3.8% $0.55
2018 $698.1m (9.2%) $55.4m (130.0%) $38.0m (26.1%) 7.9% (110.5%) $1.32 (140.0%)
2019 $706.3m (1.2%) $30.5m (-44.9%) $42.8m (12.7%) 4.3% (-45.5%) $0.71 (-46.2%)
2020 $691.3m (-2.1%) $-128.6m (-521.2%) $14.4m (-66.3%) -18.6% (-530.3%) $-14.69 (-2169.0%)
2021 $426.7m (-38.3%) $-139.4m (-8.4%) $-38.6m (-367.6%) -32.7% (-75.7%) $-15.22 (-3.6%)
2022 $585.2m (37.1%) $-28.1m (79.8%) $72.8m (288.5%) -4.8% (85.3%) $-2.26 (85.2%)
2023 $618.5m (5.7%) $42.2m (249.9%) $65.2m (-10.4%) 6.8% (241.8%) $3.03 (234.1%)
2024 $608.0m (-1.7%) $36.2m (-14.2%) $52.6m (-19.3%) 6.0% (-12.7%) $2.56 (-15.5%)
2025 $610.9m (0.5%) $39.5m (9.1%) $50.8m (-3.5%) 6.5% (8.6%) $2.64 (3.1%)
2026 $596.5m (-2.3%) $27.9m (-29.4%) $25.2m (-50.4%) 4.7% (-27.7%) $1.84 (-30.3%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model