Discounted Cash Flow

J&j Snack Foods Corp.

JJSF · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $992.8m $76.0m $72.5m 7.7% $4.07
2017 $1.1b (9.2%) $79.2m (4.2%) $53.2m (-26.7%) 7.3% (-4.6%) $4.23 (3.9%)
2018 $1.1b (5.0%) $103.6m (30.8%) $63.3m (19.1%) 9.1% (24.6%) $5.54 (31.0%)
2019 $1.2b (4.2%) $94.8m (-8.5%) $90.4m (42.7%) 8.0% (-12.2%) $5.04 (-9.0%)
2020 $1.0b (-13.9%) $18.3m (-80.7%) $34.3m (-62.0%) 1.8% (-77.6%) $0.97 (-80.8%)
2021 $1.1b (12.0%) $55.6m (203.8%) $47.9m (39.6%) 4.9% (171.3%) $2.92 (201.0%)
2022 $1.4b (20.6%) $47.2m (-15.1%) $-61.2m (-227.8%) 3.4% (-29.6%) $2.47 (-15.4%)
2023 $1.6b (12.9%) $78.9m (67.0%) $67.5m (210.3%) 5.1% (48.0%) $4.10 (66.0%)
2024 $1.6b (1.0%) $86.6m (9.7%) $99.5m (47.3%) 5.5% (8.6%) $4.46 (8.8%)
2025 $1.6b (0.5%) $65.6m (-24.2%) $82.3m (-17.3%) 4.1% (-24.6%) $3.37 (-24.4%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model