Discounted Cash Flow
Johnson & Johnson
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $18.1b | $15.4b | $15.8b | 85.1% | $2.95 |
| 2017 | $76.5b (322.2%) | $1.3b (-91.6%) | $1.3b (-91.8%) | 1.7% (-98.0%) | $0.48 (-83.7%) |
| 2018 | $81.6b (6.7%) | $15.3b (1076.7%) | $18.5b (1325.5%) | 18.8% (1002.7%) | $5.70 (1087.5%) |
| 2019 | $82.1b (0.6%) | $15.1b (-1.2%) | $19.9b (7.5%) | 18.4% (-1.7%) | $5.72 (0.4%) |
| 2020 | $82.6b (0.6%) | $14.7b (-2.7%) | $20.2b (1.4%) | 17.8% (-3.3%) | $5.59 (-2.3%) |
| 2021 | $93.8b (13.6%) | $20.9b (41.9%) | $19.9b (-1.5%) | 22.3% (25.0%) | $7.93 (41.9%) |
| 2022 | $94.9b (1.2%) | $20.9b (0.0%) | $19.8b (-0.6%) | 22.0% (-1.2%) | $7.93 (0.0%) |
| 2023 | $85.2b (-10.3%) | $35.2b (68.4%) | $16.7b (-15.7%) | 41.3% (87.7%) | $13.88 (75.0%) |
| 2024 | $88.8b (4.3%) | $14.1b (-60.0%) | $19.8b (19.2%) | 15.8% (-61.6%) | $5.84 (-57.9%) |
| 2025 | $94.2b (6.0%) | $26.8b (90.6%) | $19.7b (-0.7%) | 28.5% (79.7%) | $11.13 (90.6%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.