Discounted Cash Flow
ST JOE Co.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $95.7m | $15.9m | $10.0m | 16.6% | $0.21 |
| 2017 | $98.8m (3.2%) | $59.6m (274.8%) | $52.8m (428.9%) | 60.3% (263.2%) | $0.84 (300.0%) |
| 2018 | $110.3m (11.6%) | $32.4m (-45.7%) | $38.8m (-26.5%) | 29.4% (-51.3%) | $0.52 (-38.1%) |
| 2019 | $127.1m (15.2%) | $26.8m (-17.3%) | $21.0m (-45.8%) | 21.1% (-28.2%) | $0.45 (-13.5%) |
| 2020 | $160.6m (26.3%) | $45.2m (68.8%) | $31.6m (50.4%) | 28.2% (33.6%) | $0.77 (71.1%) |
| 2021 | $267.0m (66.3%) | $74.6m (64.9%) | $107.5m (239.7%) | 27.9% (-0.8%) | $1.27 (64.9%) |
| 2022 | $252.3m (-5.5%) | $70.9m (-4.9%) | $40.9m (-62.0%) | 28.1% (0.7%) | $1.21 (-4.7%) |
| 2023 | $389.3m (54.3%) | $77.7m (9.6%) | $97.7m (139.0%) | 20.0% (-29.0%) | $1.33 (9.9%) |
| 2024 | $402.7m (3.5%) | $74.2m (-4.5%) | $100.2m (2.6%) | 18.4% (-7.7%) | $1.27 (-4.5%) |
| 2025 | $513.2m (27.4%) | $115.6m (55.9%) | $186.6m (86.2%) | 22.5% (22.3%) | $2.00 (57.5%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.