Discounted Cash Flow
James River Group Holdings, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $586.2m | $74.5m | $154.3m | 12.7% | $2.56 |
| 2017 | $817.6m (39.5%) | $43.6m (-41.5%) | $207.8m (34.6%) | 5.3% (-58.1%) | $1.48 (-42.2%) |
| 2018 | $885.6m (8.3%) | $63.8m (46.5%) | $290.0m (39.6%) | 7.2% (35.3%) | $2.14 (44.6%) |
| 2019 | $907.1m (2.4%) | $38.3m (-39.9%) | $38.3m (-86.8%) | 4.2% (-41.4%) | $1.27 (-40.7%) |
| 2020 | $668.7m (-26.3%) | $4.8m (-87.4%) | $-274.4m (-815.7%) | 0.7% (-82.9%) | $0.16 (-87.4%) |
| 2021 | $772.9m (15.6%) | $-172.8m (-3682.1%) | $-919.8m (-235.2%) | -22.4% (-3199.2%) | $-4.94 (-3187.5%) |
| 2022 | $813.7m (5.3%) | $31.0m (117.9%) | $214.5m (123.3%) | 3.8% (117.0%) | $0.59 (111.9%) |
| 2023 | $812.0m (-0.2%) | $-107.7m (-447.7%) | $81.5m (-62.0%) | -13.3% (-448.4%) | $-3.14 (-632.2%) |
| 2024 | $707.6m (-12.9%) | $-81.1m (24.7%) | $-252.0m (-409.1%) | -11.5% (13.6%) | $-3.06 (2.5%) |
| 2025 | $687.6m (-2.8%) | $47.4m (158.5%) | $-23.6m (90.6%) | 6.9% (160.2%) | $0.86 (128.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.