Discounted Cash Flow
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Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
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%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $3.6b | $105.6m | $183.9m | 2.9% | $1.23 |
| 2017 | $4.4b (21.5%) | $180.6m (71.0%) | $505.1m (174.7%) | 4.1% (40.7%) | $2.09 (69.9%) |
| 2018 | $4.5b (4.1%) | $170.4m (-5.7%) | $214.1m (-57.6%) | 3.7% (-9.4%) | $1.93 (-7.7%) |
| 2019 | $4.6b (0.1%) | $268.8m (57.8%) | $210.6m (-1.7%) | 5.9% (57.6%) | $3.04 (57.5%) |
| 2020 | $4.2b (-8.1%) | $296.2m (10.2%) | $281.8m (33.8%) | 7.1% (20.0%) | $3.26 (7.2%) |
| 2021 | $5.7b (36.9%) | $564.7m (90.6%) | $-76.7m (-127.2%) | 9.9% (39.3%) | $6.25 (91.6%) |
| 2022 | $6.9b (20.6%) | $816.7m (44.6%) | $138.2m (280.2%) | 11.8% (19.9%) | $9.40 (50.5%) |
| 2023 | $6.4b (-7.1%) | $590.2m (-27.7%) | $1.0b (657.9%) | 9.2% (-22.2%) | $7.30 (-22.4%) |
| 2024 | $6.9b (8.1%) | $655.0m (11.0%) | $323.4m (-69.1%) | 9.5% (2.7%) | $8.76 (20.0%) |
| 2025 | $6.2b (-10.0%) | $428.8m (-34.5%) | $287.3m (-11.2%) | 6.9% (-27.3%) | $6.31 (-27.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.