Discounted Cash Flow
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $6.4b | $847.0m | $759.0m | 13.2% | $4.57 |
| 2017 | $6.7b (3.9%) | $1.1b (27.0%) | $836.0m (10.1%) | 16.1% (22.3%) | $5.91 (29.3%) |
| 2018 | $7.4b (11.2%) | $586.0m (-45.5%) | $1.4b (71.4%) | 7.9% (-51.0%) | $0.54 (-90.9%) |
| 2019 | $11.1b (49.4%) | $1.3b (114.0%) | $2.1b (49.6%) | 11.3% (43.2%) | $0.89 (64.8%) |
| 2020 | $11.6b (4.5%) | $1.3b (5.7%) | $2.0b (-6.9%) | 11.4% (1.1%) | $0.94 (5.6%) |
| 2021 | $12.7b (9.2%) | $2.1b (62.0%) | $2.5b (22.9%) | 16.9% (48.4%) | $1.52 (61.7%) |
| 2022 | $14.1b (10.8%) | $1.4b (-33.1%) | $2.5b (1.3%) | 10.2% (-39.6%) | $1.01 (-33.6%) |
| 2023 | $14.8b (5.4%) | $2.2b (51.9%) | $904.0m (-63.6%) | 14.7% (44.1%) | $1.56 (54.5%) |
| 2024 | $15.4b (3.6%) | $1.4b (-33.9%) | $1.7b (83.2%) | 9.4% (-36.2%) | $1.06 (-32.1%) |
| 2025 | $16.6b (8.2%) | $2.1b (44.3%) | $1.5b (-9.1%) | 12.5% (33.4%) | $1.53 (44.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.