Discounted Cash Flow
Kirby Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.8b | $141.4m | $183.0m | 8.0% | $2.63 |
| 2017 | $2.2b (25.1%) | $313.2m (121.5%) | $176.2m (-3.7%) | 14.1% (77.1%) | $5.62 (113.7%) |
| 2018 | $3.0b (34.2%) | $78.5m (-75.0%) | $45.1m (-74.4%) | 2.6% (-81.3%) | $1.31 (-76.7%) |
| 2019 | $2.8b (-4.5%) | $142.3m (81.4%) | $263.6m (484.1%) | 5.0% (89.9%) | $2.38 (81.7%) |
| 2020 | $2.2b (-23.5%) | $-272.5m (-291.5%) | $296.8m (12.6%) | -12.6% (-350.3%) | $-4.55 (-291.2%) |
| 2021 | $2.2b (3.5%) | $-247.0m (9.4%) | $223.6m (-24.7%) | -11.0% (12.4%) | $-4.11 (9.7%) |
| 2022 | $2.8b (24.0%) | $122.3m (149.5%) | $121.5m (-45.6%) | 4.4% (140.0%) | $2.04 (149.6%) |
| 2023 | $3.1b (11.0%) | $222.9m (82.3%) | $138.5m (14.0%) | 7.2% (64.2%) | $3.74 (83.3%) |
| 2024 | $3.3b (5.6%) | $286.7m (28.6%) | $413.8m (198.8%) | 8.8% (21.7%) | $4.95 (32.4%) |
| 2025 | $3.4b (3.0%) | $354.6m (23.7%) | $405.7m (-2.0%) | 10.5% (20.1%) | $6.37 (28.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.