Discounted Cash Flow
Keycorp /New/
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $5.0b | $791.0m | $1.7b | 15.7% | $0.81 |
| 2017 | $6.3b (25.6%) | $1.3b (63.8%) | $1.8b (7.5%) | 20.5% (30.5%) | $1.14 (40.7%) |
| 2018 | $6.4b (1.8%) | $1.9b (44.0%) | $2.5b (38.1%) | 29.0% (41.4%) | $1.73 (51.8%) |
| 2019 | $6.4b (-0.9%) | $1.7b (-8.0%) | $2.9b (16.0%) | 27.0% (-7.2%) | $1.63 (-5.8%) |
| 2020 | $6.7b (5.4%) | $1.3b (-21.8%) | $1.7b (-42.4%) | 20.0% (-25.8%) | $1.28 (-21.5%) |
| 2021 | $7.3b (8.2%) | $2.6b (95.5%) | $1.2b (-31.1%) | 36.1% (80.7%) | $2.65 (107.0%) |
| 2022 | $7.2b (-0.3%) | $1.9b (-27.0%) | $4.4b (278.2%) | 26.5% (-26.8%) | $1.94 (-26.8%) |
| 2023 | $6.4b (-11.9%) | $967.0m (-49.6%) | $2.8b (-36.7%) | 15.1% (-42.7%) | $0.89 (-54.1%) |
| 2024 | $4.6b (-28.3%) | $-161.0m (-116.6%) | $599.0m (-78.3%) | -3.5% (-123.2%) | $-0.32 (-136.0%) |
| 2025 | $7.5b (63.5%) | $1.8b (1236.0%) | $2.1b (250.8%) | 24.5% (794.9%) | $1.53 (578.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.