Discounted Cash Flow

Kimco Realty Corp. REIT

KIM · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $1.2b $378.9m $592.1m 32.4% $0.79
2017 $1.2b (2.6%) $426.1m (12.5%) $614.2m (3.7%) 35.5% (9.7%) $0.87 (10.1%)
2018 $1.2b (-3.0%) $497.8m (16.8%) $637.9m (3.9%) 42.7% (20.5%) $1.02 (17.2%)
2019 $1.2b (-0.5%) $410.6m (-17.5%) $583.6m (-8.5%) 35.4% (-17.1%)
2020 $1.1b (-8.7%) $1.0b (143.7%) $589.9m (1.1%) 94.6% (167.0%)
2021 $1.4b (29.0%) $844.1m (-15.7%) $618.9m (4.9%) 61.9% (-34.6%)
2022 $1.7b (26.6%) $126.0m (-85.1%) $861.1m (39.1%) 7.3% (-88.2%)
2023 $1.8b (3.2%) $654.3m (419.4%) $1.1b (24.4%) 36.7% (403.1%)
2024 $2.0b (14.2%) $410.8m (-37.2%) $1.0b (-6.2%) 20.2% (-45.0%)
2025 $2.1b (5.1%) $584.7m (42.3%) $1.1b (9.5%) 27.3% (35.5%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model