Discounted Cash Flow

Kinder Morgan, Inc.

KMI · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $13.1b $708.0m $1.9b 5.4% $0.25
2017 $13.7b (5.0%) $183.0m (-74.2%) $1.4b (-25.8%) 1.3% (-75.4%) $0.01 (-96.0%)
2018 $14.1b (3.2%) $1.6b (779.2%) $2.1b (51.4%) 11.4% (751.9%) $0.66 (6500.0%)
2019 $13.2b (-6.6%) $2.2b (36.1%) $2.5b (15.8%) 16.6% (45.7%) $0.96 (45.5%)
2020 $11.7b (-11.4%) $119.0m (-94.6%) $119.0m (-95.2%) 1.0% (-93.9%) $0.05 (-94.8%)
2021 $16.6b (42.0%) $1.8b (1399.2%) $4.4b (3620.2%) 10.7% (956.0%) $0.78 (1460.0%)
2022 $19.2b (15.6%) $2.5b (42.8%) $3.3b (-24.4%) 13.3% (23.6%) $1.12 (43.6%)
2023 $15.3b (-20.1%) $2.4b (-6.2%) $4.2b (24.7%) 15.6% (17.5%) $1.06 (-5.4%)
2024 $15.1b (-1.5%) $2.6b (9.3%) $3.0b (-28.0%) 17.3% (11.0%) $1.17 (10.4%)
2025 $16.9b (12.2%) $3.1b (17.0%) $2.9b (-3.8%) 18.0% (4.3%) $1.37 (17.1%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model