Discounted Cash Flow
Kinsale Capital Group, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $141.6m | $26.2m | $73.2m | 18.5% | $2.03 |
| 2017 | $186.8m (31.9%) | $24.9m (-4.8%) | $77.2m (5.5%) | 13.3% (-27.8%) | $1.19 (-41.4%) |
| 2018 | $222.1m (18.9%) | $33.8m (35.7%) | $102.7m (33.0%) | 15.2% (14.1%) | $1.60 (34.5%) |
| 2019 | $315.9m (42.2%) | $63.3m (87.4%) | $158.7m (54.6%) | 20.0% (31.8%) | $2.94 (83.7%) |
| 2020 | $459.9m (45.6%) | $88.4m (39.6%) | $247.1m (55.7%) | 19.2% (-4.1%) | $3.96 (34.7%) |
| 2021 | $639.8m (39.1%) | $152.7m (72.7%) | $401.1m (62.3%) | 23.9% (24.1%) | $6.73 (69.9%) |
| 2022 | $819.2m (28.0%) | $159.1m (4.2%) | $550.9m (37.3%) | 19.4% (-18.6%) | $6.97 (3.6%) |
| 2023 | $1.2b (49.5%) | $308.1m (93.6%) | $853.2m (54.9%) | 25.2% (29.5%) | $13.37 (91.8%) |
| 2024 | $1.6b (29.7%) | $414.8m (34.6%) | $952.4m (11.6%) | 26.1% (3.9%) | $17.92 (34.0%) |
| 2025 | $1.9b (18.0%) | $503.6m (21.4%) | $990.1m (4.0%) | 26.9% (2.8%) | $21.76 (21.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.