Discounted Cash Flow
Knight-swift Transportation Holdings Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $4.0b | $149.3m | $466.3m | 3.7% | $1.11 |
| 2017 | $2.4b (-39.8%) | $484.3m (224.4%) | $322.6m (-30.8%) | 20.0% (439.3%) | $4.38 (294.6%) |
| 2018 | $5.3b (120.3%) | $419.3m (-13.4%) | $882.0m (173.4%) | 7.8% (-60.7%) | $2.37 (-45.9%) |
| 2019 | $4.8b (-9.4%) | $309.2m (-26.3%) | $839.6m (-4.8%) | 6.4% (-18.6%) | $1.80 (-24.1%) |
| 2020 | $4.7b (-3.5%) | $410.0m (32.6%) | $919.6m (9.5%) | 8.8% (37.4%) | $2.42 (34.4%) |
| 2021 | $6.0b (28.3%) | $743.4m (81.3%) | $1.2b (26.7%) | 12.4% (41.3%) | $4.48 (85.1%) |
| 2022 | $7.4b (23.9%) | $771.3m (3.8%) | $635.3m (-45.5%) | 10.4% (-16.2%) | $4.75 (6.0%) |
| 2023 | $7.1b (-3.9%) | $217.1m (-71.8%) | $90.1m (-85.8%) | 3.0% (-70.7%) | $1.35 (-71.6%) |
| 2024 | $7.4b (3.8%) | $117.6m (-45.8%) | $-20.1m (-122.3%) | 1.6% (-47.8%) | $0.73 (-45.9%) |
| 2025 | $7.5b (0.8%) | $65.9m (-43.9%) | $460.8m (2394.2%) | 0.9% (-44.4%) | $0.41 (-43.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.