Discounted Cash Flow

Karat Packaging Inc.

KRT · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2020 $295.5m $17.5m $-15.0m 5.9% $1.15
2021 $364.2m (23.3%) $20.8m (18.6%) $4.5m (130.0%) 5.7% (-3.8%) $1.13 (-1.7%)
2022 $423.0m (16.1%) $23.6m (13.8%) $26.8m (495.4%) 5.6% (-2.0%) $1.19 (5.3%)
2023 $405.7m (-4.1%) $32.5m (37.3%) $50.5m (88.5%) 8.0% (43.2%) $1.63 (37.0%)
2024 $422.6m (4.2%) $30.0m (-7.7%) $47.0m (-6.9%) 7.1% (-11.4%) $1.50 (-8.0%)
2025 $467.7m (10.7%) $31.5m (5.0%) $33.1m (-29.7%) 6.7% (-5.1%) $1.57 (4.7%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model