Discounted Cash Flow
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $668.7m | $-60.5m | $-7.6m | -9.0% | $-0.99 |
| 2017 | $751.9m (12.4%) | $-42.7m (29.4%) | $-5.5m (28.0%) | -5.7% (37.2%) | $-0.48 (51.5%) |
| 2018 | $618.0m (-17.8%) | $-3.5m (91.8%) | $-6.1m (-11.1%) | -0.6% (90.0%) | $-0.03 (93.7%) |
| 2019 | $717.5m (16.1%) | $12.5m (457.1%) | $-2.1k (100.0%) | 1.7% (407.6%) | $0.12 (500.0%) |
| 2020 | $747.7m (4.2%) | $79.6m (536.8%) | $21.5k (1124.8%) | 10.6% (511.1%) | $0.69 (475.0%) |
| 2021 | $811.5m (8.5%) | $-2.0m (-102.5%) | $-798.1k (-3817.3%) | -0.2% (-102.3%) | $-0.02 (-102.9%) |
| 2022 | $898.3m (10.7%) | $-36.9m (-1745.0%) | $-71.1m (-8808.6%) | -4.1% (-1566.7%) | $-0.29 (-1350.0%) |
| 2023 | $1.0b (15.5%) | $-8.9m (75.9%) | $12.8m (118.0%) | -0.9% (79.1%) | $-0.07 (75.9%) |
| 2024 | $1.1b (9.6%) | $16.3m (283.1%) | $-8.5m (-166.4%) | 1.4% (267.2%) | $0.11 (257.1%) |
| 2025 | $1.3b (18.5%) | $22.0m (35.0%) | $-137.4m (-1516.5%) | 1.6% (13.9%) | $0.14 (27.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.