Discounted Cash Flow
Lithia Motors Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $8.7b | $197.1m | $-14.2m | 2.3% | $7.76 |
| 2017 | $10.1b (16.2%) | $245.2m (24.4%) | $43.5m (405.2%) | 2.4% (7.1%) | $9.78 (26.0%) |
| 2018 | $11.8b (17.2%) | $265.7m (8.4%) | $361.7m (731.9%) | 2.2% (-7.5%) | $10.91 (11.6%) |
| 2019 | $12.7b (7.2%) | $271.5m (2.2%) | $374.6m (3.6%) | 2.1% (-4.7%) | $11.70 (7.2%) |
| 2020 | $13.1b (3.6%) | $470.3m (73.2%) | $374.4m (-0.1%) | 3.6% (67.3%) | $19.74 (68.7%) |
| 2021 | $22.8b (74.0%) | $1.1b (125.4%) | $1.5b (310.5%) | 4.6% (29.6%) | $36.81 (86.5%) |
| 2022 | $28.2b (23.5%) | $1.3b (18.0%) | $-913.2m (-159.4%) | 4.4% (-4.4%) | $44.38 (20.6%) |
| 2023 | $31.0b (10.1%) | $1.0b (-20.0%) | $-702.6m (23.1%) | 3.2% (-27.4%) | $36.36 (-18.1%) |
| 2024 | $36.2b (16.6%) | $802.0m (-19.9%) | $73.7m (110.5%) | 2.2% (-31.3%) | $29.71 (-18.3%) |
| 2025 | $37.6b (4.0%) | $819.6m (2.2%) | $5.8m (-92.1%) | 2.2% (-1.7%) | $32.38 (9.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.