Discounted Cash Flow
Lamar Advertising Co./New REIT
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.5b | $298.8m | $414.2m | 19.9% | $3.07 |
| 2017 | $1.5b (2.7%) | $317.7m (6.3%) | $397.7m (-4.0%) | 20.6% (3.5%) | $3.24 (5.5%) |
| 2018 | $1.6b (5.6%) | $305.2m (-3.9%) | $447.2m (12.5%) | 18.8% (-9.0%) | $3.09 (-4.6%) |
| 2019 | $1.8b (7.8%) | $372.1m (21.9%) | $489.9m (9.5%) | 21.2% (13.1%) | $3.71 (20.1%) |
| 2020 | $1.6b (-10.5%) | $243.4m (-34.6%) | $507.6m (3.6%) | 15.5% (-26.9%) | $2.41 (-35.0%) |
| 2021 | $1.8b (13.9%) | $388.1m (59.5%) | $608.3m (19.8%) | 21.7% (40.0%) | $3.83 (58.9%) |
| 2022 | $2.0b (13.7%) | $438.6m (13.0%) | $614.5m (1.0%) | 21.6% (-0.6%) | $4.32 (12.8%) |
| 2023 | $2.1b (3.9%) | $495.8m (13.0%) | $605.3m (-1.5%) | 23.5% (8.8%) | $4.86 (12.5%) |
| 2024 | $2.2b (4.6%) | $361.9m (-27.0%) | $748.3m (23.6%) | 16.4% (-30.2%) | $3.54 (-27.2%) |
| 2025 | $2.3b (2.7%) | $587.2m (62.3%) | $683.2m (-8.7%) | 25.9% (58.0%) | $5.78 (63.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.