Discounted Cash Flow
Nlight, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $138.6m | $1.8m | $-2.1m | 1.3% | $0.00 |
| 2018 | $191.4m (38.1%) | $13.9m (658.7%) | $-7.2m (-249.8%) | 7.3% (449.5%) | $0.38 |
| 2019 | $176.6m (-7.7%) | $-12.9m (-192.4%) | $-16.6m (-129.7%) | -7.3% (-200.2%) | $-0.35 (-192.1%) |
| 2020 | $222.8m (26.1%) | $-20.9m (-62.5%) | $-10.4m (37.7%) | -9.4% (-28.8%) | $-0.55 (-57.1%) |
| 2021 | $270.1m (21.3%) | $-29.7m (-41.7%) | $-26.8m (-157.9%) | -11.0% (-16.9%) | $-0.70 (-27.3%) |
| 2022 | $242.1m (-10.4%) | $-54.6m (-84.0%) | $-35.9m (-34.3%) | -22.5% (-105.3%) | $-1.23 (-75.7%) |
| 2023 | $209.9m (-13.3%) | $-41.7m (23.7%) | $4.8m (113.2%) | -19.9% (12.0%) | $-0.90 (26.8%) |
| 2024 | $198.5m (-5.4%) | $-60.8m (-45.9%) | $-10.3m (-316.6%) | -30.6% (-54.2%) | $-1.27 (-41.1%) |
| 2025 | $261.3m (31.6%) | $-23.5m (61.4%) | $12.3m (219.5%) | -9.0% (70.7%) | $-0.47 (63.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.