Discounted Cash Flow

LCI Industries

LCII · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $1.7b $129.7m $158.7m 7.7% $5.26
2017 $2.1b (27.9%) $132.9m (2.5%) $67.9m (-57.2%) 6.2% (-19.9%) $5.31 (1.0%)
2018 $2.5b (15.3%) $148.6m (11.8%) $36.8m (-45.8%) 6.0% (-3.0%) $5.90 (11.1%)
2019 $2.4b (-4.2%) $146.5m (-1.4%) $211.3m (474.5%) 6.2% (3.0%) $5.86 (-0.7%)
2020 $2.8b (17.9%) $158.4m (8.1%) $174.1m (-17.6%) 5.7% (-8.3%) $6.30 (7.5%)
2021 $4.5b (60.0%) $287.7m (81.6%) $-210.1m (-220.7%) 6.4% (13.5%) $11.39 (80.8%)
2022 $5.2b (16.4%) $395.0m (37.3%) $471.9m (324.6%) 7.6% (17.9%) $15.57 (36.7%)
2023 $3.8b (-27.3%) $64.2m (-83.7%) $465.0m (-1.5%) 1.7% (-77.6%) $2.54 (-83.7%)
2024 $3.7b (-1.2%) $142.9m (122.6%) $328.0m (-29.5%) 3.8% (125.1%) $5.61 (120.9%)
2025 $4.1b (10.2%) $188.2m (31.8%) $278.3m (-15.1%) 4.6% (19.6%) $7.59 (35.3%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model