Discounted Cash Flow
LGI Homes, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $838.3m | $75.0m | $-108.9m | 9.0% | $3.61 |
| 2017 | $1.3b (50.1%) | $113.3m (51.0%) | $-69.0m (36.7%) | 9.0% (0.6%) | $5.24 (45.2%) |
| 2018 | $1.5b (19.6%) | $155.3m (37.1%) | $-117.2m (-69.9%) | 10.3% (14.6%) | $6.89 (31.5%) |
| 2019 | $1.8b (22.2%) | $178.6m (15.0%) | $-42.7m (63.6%) | 9.7% (-5.9%) | $7.70 (11.8%) |
| 2020 | $2.4b (28.8%) | $323.9m (81.3%) | $199.5m (567.5%) | 13.7% (40.8%) | $12.89 (67.4%) |
| 2021 | $3.1b (28.8%) | $429.6m (32.6%) | $20.0m (-90.0%) | 14.1% (3.0%) | $17.46 (35.5%) |
| 2022 | $2.3b (-24.4%) | $326.6m (-24.0%) | $-371.6m (-1960.9%) | 14.2% (0.6%) | $13.90 (-20.4%) |
| 2023 | $2.4b (2.3%) | $199.2m (-39.0%) | $-58.4m (84.3%) | 8.4% (-40.4%) | $8.48 (-39.0%) |
| 2024 | $2.2b (-6.6%) | $196.1m (-1.6%) | $-145.7m (-149.4%) | 8.9% (5.4%) | $8.33 (-1.8%) |
| 2025 | $1.7b (-22.6%) | $72.6m (-63.0%) | $-140.9m (3.3%) | 4.3% (-52.2%) | $3.13 (-62.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.