Discounted Cash Flow
Li Auto Inc. ADR
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | $68.1m | $-172.5m | $-208.3m | -253.1% | $-7.25 |
| 2019 | $284.4m (317.4%) | $-360.9m (-109.3%) | $-282.7m (-35.7%) | -126.9% (49.9%) | $-12.87 (-77.5%) |
| 2020 | $1.4b (409.7%) | $-3.4m (99.0%) | $-3.4m (98.8%) | -0.2% (99.8%) | $-0.91 (92.9%) |
| 2021 | $4.2b (192.4%) | $-7.5m (-117.0%) | $-7.5m (-117.0%) | -0.2% (25.8%) | $-0.03 (96.7%) |
| 2022 | $6.6b (54.9%) | $-300.8m (-3929.1%) | $912.6m (12324.8%) | -4.6% (-2500.8%) | $-0.15 (-400.0%) |
| 2023 | $17.4b (165.7%) | $1.7b (681.1%) | $7.2b (692.8%) | 10.0% (318.7%) | $0.84 (660.0%) |
| 2024 | $19.8b (13.5%) | $1.2b (-31.9%) | $1.9b (-73.7%) | 6.0% (-40.0%) | $0.55 (-34.5%) |
| 2025 | $16.1b (-18.8%) | $166.4m (-86.0%) | $166.4m (-91.3%) | 1.0% (-82.8%) | $0.08 (-85.5%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CNY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.