Discounted Cash Flow
Lumentum Holdings Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $903.0m | $9.3m | $4.6m | 1.0% | $-0.05 |
| 2017 | $1.0b (10.9%) | $-102.5m (-1202.2%) | $-53.1m (-1254.3%) | -10.2% (-1093.7%) | $-1.71 (-3320.0%) |
| 2018 | $1.2b (24.6%) | $248.1m (342.0%) | $154.3m (390.6%) | 19.9% (294.3%) | $3.88 (326.9%) |
| 2019 | $1.5b (21.7%) | $-36.4m (-114.7%) | $164.1m (6.4%) | -2.4% (-112.1%) | $-0.54 (-113.9%) |
| 2020 | $1.7b (10.5%) | $135.5m (472.3%) | $438.3m (167.1%) | 8.1% (436.8%) | $1.79 (431.5%) |
| 2021 | $1.7b (3.8%) | $397.3m (193.2%) | $653.9m (49.2%) | 22.8% (182.4%) | $5.27 (194.4%) |
| 2022 | $1.7b (-1.7%) | $198.9m (-49.9%) | $368.1m (-43.7%) | 11.6% (-49.1%) | $2.79 (-47.1%) |
| 2023 | $1.8b (3.2%) | $-131.6m (-166.2%) | $51.3m (-86.1%) | -7.4% (-164.1%) | $-1.93 (-169.2%) |
| 2024 | $1.4b (-23.1%) | $-546.5m (-315.3%) | $-108.3m (-311.1%) | -40.2% (-439.9%) | $-8.12 (-320.7%) |
| 2025 | $1.6b (21.0%) | $25.9m (104.7%) | $-104.7m (3.3%) | 1.6% (103.9%) | $0.38 (104.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.