Discounted Cash Flow
LKQ Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $8.6b | $464.0m | $635.0m | 5.4% | $1.51 |
| 2017 | $9.7b (13.4%) | $533.7m (15.0%) | $518.9m (-18.3%) | 5.5% (1.4%) | $1.73 (14.6%) |
| 2018 | $11.9b (22.0%) | $480.1m (-10.0%) | $710.7m (37.0%) | 4.0% (-26.3%) | $1.53 (-11.6%) |
| 2019 | $12.5b (5.3%) | $541.3m (12.7%) | $1.1b (49.7%) | 4.3% (7.1%) | $1.75 (14.4%) |
| 2020 | $11.6b (-7.0%) | $638.4m (18.0%) | $1.4b (35.7%) | 5.5% (26.8%) | $2.10 (20.0%) |
| 2021 | $13.1b (12.6%) | $1.1b (70.9%) | $1.4b (-5.3%) | 8.3% (51.8%) | $3.68 (75.2%) |
| 2022 | $12.8b (-2.3%) | $1.1b (5.3%) | $1.0b (-24.8%) | 9.0% (7.8%) | $4.15 (12.8%) |
| 2023 | $13.9b (8.4%) | $938.0m (-18.4%) | $998.0m (-2.9%) | 6.8% (-24.7%) | $3.50 (-15.7%) |
| 2024 | $14.4b (3.5%) | $693.0m (-26.1%) | $810.0m (-18.8%) | 4.8% (-28.6%) | $2.62 (-25.1%) |
| 2025 | $13.7b (-4.9%) | $608.0m (-12.3%) | $847.0m (4.6%) | 4.5% (-7.7%) | $2.36 (-9.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.