Discounted Cash Flow

Lockheed Martin Corp.

LMT · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $47.2b $5.3b $4.1b 11.2% $17.71
2017 $51.0b (8.0%) $2.0b (-62.2%) $5.3b (28.4%) 3.9% (-65.1%) $6.96 (-60.7%)
2018 $53.8b (5.3%) $5.0b (152.0%) $1.9b (-64.9%) 9.4% (139.3%) $17.74 (154.9%)
2019 $59.8b (11.3%) $6.2b (23.5%) $5.8b (213.3%) 10.4% (11.0%) $22.09 (24.5%)
2020 $65.4b (9.3%) $6.8b (9.7%) $6.4b (10.1%) 10.4% (0.3%) $24.40 (10.5%)
2021 $67.0b (2.5%) $6.3b (-7.6%) $7.7b (20.0%) 9.4% (-9.8%) $22.85 (-6.4%)
2022 $66.0b (-1.6%) $5.7b (-9.2%) $6.1b (-20.4%) 8.7% (-7.8%) $21.74 (-4.9%)
2023 $67.6b (2.4%) $6.9b (20.7%) $6.2b (1.6%) 10.2% (17.9%) $27.65 (27.2%)
2024 $71.0b (5.1%) $5.3b (-22.9%) $5.3b (-15.1%) 7.5% (-26.7%) $22.39 (-19.0%)
2025 $75.0b (5.6%) $5.0b (-6.0%) $6.9b (30.7%) 6.7% (-11.0%) $21.56 (-3.7%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model