Discounted Cash Flow

Lincoln National Corp.

LNC · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

DCF estimate unavailable — loss_in_2023

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $13.3b $1.2b $1.3b 8.9% $5.09
2017 $14.3b (7.0%) $2.1b (74.4%) $788.0m (-38.1%) 14.6% (63.1%) $9.36 (83.9%)
2018 $1.3b (-90.6%) $1.6b (-21.1%) $-10.7b (-1458.8%) 122.2% (737.9%) $7.60 (-18.8%)
2019 $17.3b (1185.0%) $886.0m (-46.0%) $886.0m (108.3%) 5.1% (-95.8%) $4.41 (-42.0%)
2020 $17.4b (1.0%) $499.0m (-43.7%) $499.0m (-43.7%) 2.9% (-44.3%) $2.58 (-41.5%)
2021 $19.2b (10.3%) $1.4b (181.6%) $1.4b (181.6%) 7.3% (155.3%) $7.50 (190.7%)
2022 $18.8b (-2.4%) $-2.2b (-259.5%) $3.6b (156.9%) -11.9% (-263.4%) $-13.11 (-274.8%)
2023 $11.6b (-37.9%) $-752.0m (66.4%) $-752.0m (-120.8%) -6.5% (45.9%) $-4.92 (62.5%)
2024 $18.4b (58.4%) $3.3b (535.5%) $-13.4b (-1688.4%) 17.8% (375.0%) $18.66 (479.3%)
2025 $18.2b (-1.2%) $1.2b (-64.1%) $-167.0m (98.8%) 6.5% (-63.6%) $5.94 (-68.2%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model

loss_in_2023

Once the company meets all DCF eligibility criteria (sufficient history, profitability, growth trends), an estimate will become available automatically. No action is needed.