Discounted Cash Flow
El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $380.1m | $18.3m | $11.9m | 4.8% | $0.48 |
| 2017 | $401.7m (5.7%) | $8.6m (-53.0%) | $17.4m (46.6%) | 2.1% (-55.5%) | $0.22 (-54.2%) |
| 2018 | $435.8m (8.5%) | $-9.0m (-204.4%) | $17.6m (1.2%) | -2.1% (-196.2%) | $-0.23 (-204.5%) |
| 2019 | $442.3m (1.5%) | $24.9m (376.9%) | $20.7m (17.3%) | 5.6% (372.8%) | $0.68 (395.7%) |
| 2020 | $426.1m (-3.7%) | $24.5m (-1.7%) | $33.9m (63.6%) | 5.7% (2.0%) | $0.70 (2.9%) |
| 2021 | $454.4m (6.6%) | $29.1m (19.0%) | $35.1m (3.5%) | 6.4% (11.6%) | $0.81 (15.7%) |
| 2022 | $470.0m (3.4%) | $20.8m (-28.6%) | $18.6m (-46.9%) | 4.4% (-30.9%) | $0.57 (-29.6%) |
| 2023 | $468.7m (-0.3%) | $25.6m (22.8%) | $19.4m (3.9%) | 5.5% (23.2%) | $0.75 (31.6%) |
| 2024 | $473.0m (0.9%) | $25.7m (0.5%) | $27.7m (43.1%) | 5.4% (-0.4%) | $0.86 (14.7%) |
| 2025 | $490.0m (3.6%) | $26.5m (3.1%) | $25.4m (-8.2%) | 5.4% (-0.5%) | $0.91 (5.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.