Discounted Cash Flow
Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $873.3m | $148.5m | $40.0m | 17.0% | $3.22 |
| 2017 | $974.1m (11.5%) | $203.3m (36.9%) | $191.3m (378.4%) | 20.9% (22.7%) | $4.31 (33.9%) |
| 2018 | $845.5m (-13.2%) | $229.0m (12.6%) | $104.6m (-45.3%) | 27.1% (29.8%) | $4.81 (11.6%) |
| 2019 | $778.6m (-7.9%) | $259.2m (13.2%) | $284.0m (171.6%) | 33.3% (22.9%) | $5.42 (12.7%) |
| 2020 | $844.1m (8.4%) | $257.2m (-0.8%) | $279.4m (-1.6%) | 30.5% (-8.5%) | $5.49 (1.3%) |
| 2021 | $896.6m (6.2%) | $260.3m (1.2%) | $284.2m (1.7%) | 29.0% (-4.7%) | $5.94 (8.2%) |
| 2022 | $911.3m (1.6%) | $184.7m (-29.1%) | $185.2m (-34.8%) | 20.3% (-30.2%) | $5.75 (-3.2%) |
| 2023 | $960.9m (5.4%) | $205.0m (11.0%) | $198.2m (7.0%) | 21.3% (5.3%) | $6.83 (18.8%) |
| 2024 | $1.0b (7.5%) | $226.2m (10.4%) | $252.3m (27.3%) | 21.9% (2.7%) | $7.77 (13.8%) |
| 2025 | $1.1b (7.1%) | $216.2m (-4.4%) | $238.6m (-5.4%) | 19.5% (-10.8%) | $7.76 (-0.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.