Discounted Cash Flow

Louisiana-pacific Corp.

LPX · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $2.2b $149.8m $217.5m 6.7% $1.04
2017 $2.7b (22.4%) $389.8m (160.2%) $325.1m (49.5%) 14.3% (112.6%) $2.70 (159.6%)
2018 $2.8b (3.4%) $394.6m (1.2%) $296.3m (-8.9%) 14.0% (-2.1%) $2.76 (2.2%)
2019 $2.3b (-18.3%) $-5.0m (-101.3%) $-4.0m (-101.3%) -0.2% (-101.6%) $-0.04 (-101.4%)
2020 $2.8b (20.7%) $499.0m (10080.0%) $582.0m (14650.0%) 17.9% (8368.9%) $4.48 (11300.0%)
2021 $4.6b (63.3%) $1.4b (176.0%) $1.2b (111.3%) 30.2% (69.0%) $14.19 (216.7%)
2022 $3.9b (-15.4%) $1.1b (-21.1%) $732.0m (-40.5%) 28.2% (-6.8%) $13.94 (-1.8%)
2023 $2.6b (-33.0%) $178.0m (-83.6%) $16.0m (-97.8%) 6.9% (-75.5%) $2.47 (-82.3%)
2024 $2.9b (13.9%) $420.0m (136.0%) $422.0m (2537.5%) 14.3% (107.1%) $5.91 (139.3%)
2025 $2.7b (-7.9%) $146.0m (-65.2%) $91.0m (-78.4%) 5.4% (-62.2%) $2.09 (-64.6%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model