Discounted Cash Flow
Lead Real Estate Co. Ltd. ADR
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $11.3b | $1.8m | $-2.6m | 0.0% | $22.30 |
| 2022 | $14.3b (27.2%) | $3.3m (89.2%) | $-21.8m (-735.9%) | 0.0% (48.7%) | $43.83 (96.5%) |
| 2023 | $17.4b (21.8%) | $3.4m (1.6%) | $-14.8m (31.9%) | 0.0% (-16.6%) | $43.39 (-1.0%) |
| 2024 | $19.0b (8.6%) | $3.9m (16.8%) | $-4.1m (72.5%) | 0.0% (7.5%) | $46.93 (8.2%) |
| 2025 | $18.8b (-0.6%) | $5.3m (35.1%) | $5.0m (221.8%) | 0.0% (35.8%) | $62.07 (32.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in JPY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.