Discounted Cash Flow
LTC Properties Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $161.6m | $85.1m | — | 52.7% | $2.21 |
| 2017 | $168.1m (4.0%) | $87.0m (2.2%) | $105.3m | 51.8% (-1.8%) | $2.21 (0.0%) |
| 2018 | $168.6m (0.3%) | $155.0m (78.2%) | $115.5m (9.7%) | 91.9% (77.6%) | $3.91 (76.9%) |
| 2019 | $185.3m (9.9%) | $80.5m (-48.0%) | $122.5m (6.0%) | 43.5% (-52.7%) | $2.03 (-48.1%) |
| 2020 | $159.3m (-14.0%) | $95.3m (18.3%) | $116.1m (-5.2%) | 59.8% (37.6%) | $2.42 (19.2%) |
| 2021 | $155.3m (-2.5%) | $55.9m (-41.4%) | $91.2m (-21.5%) | 36.0% (-39.9%) | $1.41 (-41.7%) |
| 2022 | $175.2m (12.8%) | $100.0m (79.1%) | $105.6m (15.8%) | 57.1% (58.8%) | $2.49 (76.6%) |
| 2023 | $197.2m (12.6%) | $89.7m (-10.3%) | $104.5m (-1.0%) | 45.5% (-20.3%) | $2.16 (-13.3%) |
| 2024 | $209.8m (6.4%) | $91.0m (1.5%) | $125.9m (20.5%) | 43.4% (-4.6%) | $2.07 (-4.2%) |
| 2025 | $262.9m (25.3%) | $118.0m (29.6%) | $136.0m (8.0%) | 44.9% (3.5%) | $2.54 (22.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.